twitter google

UFC 121: Lesnar vs. Velasquez Preview and Predictions

Amidst the MLB playoffs, the NFL cutting down on head hunting and sexting, the NBA season just days away, and the NHL season being ignored comes the biggest sporting event of the fall: UFC 121. This card features one of the most intriguing heavyweight title fights in UFC history, the UFC debut of one of the best welterweights in the world, and the potential end of one of the most influential light heavyweights in MMA history. On top of all that, this card is stacked from top to bottom with names you recognize and fights that you should find interesting. Simply put, if you’re a MMA fan and you’re not watching this event on Saturday, I’d give you or your child a Nutrigrain bar if you rang my doorbell next weekend.

UFC Heavyweight Title Fight: Cain Velasquez vs. Brock Lesnar

After sitting on the sidelines for nearly a year with diverticulitis, Brock Lesnar returned to the octagon at UFC 116 against Shane Carwin. His return was nearly spoiled in the first round when Carwin rocked him and knocked him down but didn’t knock him out. After surviving the first Lesnar came back and submitted Carwin in the second round to retain his UFC heavyweight title. Cain Velasquez had a front row seat for the action that night. The undefeated Mexican (did you know he’s Mexican?) heavyweight was crowned the top contender after KO’ing Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira at UFC 110. If UFC 116 was billed as a battle between the two biggest heavyweights, UFC 121 is a battle between the two best.

Velasquez has a combination of determination, skill, speed, cardio and power is second to none. He’s a technical striker whose striking looks better with every fight and what he lacks in power with his hands, he makes up with speed and volume. Against Nogueira, “Big Nog” threw a jab and Velasquez countered with a three-punch combination, including the right hand that dropped the Brazilian. He lacks head movement but Mexican’s (did you know he’s Mexican?) are genetically blessed with durable chins. He was rocked against Cheick Kongo but he never went down past one knee and every time he was rocked, he still had enough sense to land a takedown. His wrestling is outstanding and on the ground his pace is relentless. Again, what he lacks in power on the ground, he makes up for in speed and volume. Against Lesnar, Velasquez will really have to mix things up. Expect him to use a lot of movement on the feet and throw plenty of leg kicks to take away some of the power and speed of Lesnar. He’ll also likely mix in some takedowns, especially as the fight drags on, because Lesnar isn’t comfortable off his back and poses no threat. Velasquez will likely have to survive an early onslaught on takedown because that’s when Lesnar will be at his strongest. One big factor working in Velasquez’ favor is his training camp. Training at American Kickboxing Academy, he’s training with state of the art equipment, top-notch trainers, and top-notch training partners. Lesnar on the other hand has more control over his camp but maybe isn’t getting the kind of training that Velasquez is.

Lesnar might not be the most skilled fighter in the world but his size and speed along with his world-class wrestling makes him a threat to anyone. His striking is very basic but it’s powerful and as Randy Couture said, he surprises you with his reach. He’s a strong wrestler and his control on top is outstanding. Not only that but he’s able to generate a lot of power in a short distance with his ground and pound. He’s not going to beat Velasquez in a kickboxing contest but he does have the power to catch his Mexican (did you know that Velasquez is Mexican?) opponent and drop him. Like he’s done in most of his fights, expect Lesnar to go for the takedown early and often. Velasquez is arguably the best-credentialed wrestler that Lesnar has faced though so he’ll likely have to work for those takedowns. Obviously the big question when it comes to Lesnar is his cardio. There is no doubt that he looks to be in great shape and he’s gone three rounds before but he’s never pushed or been pushed with a pace that Velasquez sets. Here’s a fact: Lesnar went three rounds with Heath Herring, rocked him early, was never in danger, and threw 96 total strikes. Velasquez went three rounds with Kongo, got rocked more than once, and still threw 262 total strikes. Lesnar has cardio but Velasquez is a cardio freak.

Along with my co-conductor and fellow 5OZofPain writer Adam Tool, I have been on the Cain Train since day one. I have no plans to jump off now. While we’ll likely see the best Lesnar we’ve ever seen, we’ll also see the best Velasquez we’ve ever seen and, unless he gets caught, the best Velasquez is better than the best Lesnar. He’s going to push a pace that Lesnar isn’t used to and he’s going to show some skills that Lesnar has never seen. He’ll have to survive an early onslaught but in the end Velasquez will become the first Mexican (did you know that he’s Mexican?) heavyweight champion.

Prediction: Cain Velasquez to defeat Brock Lesnar by TKO in Round Three

Welterweight Fight: Martin Kampmann vs. Jake Shields

At UFC 115, Martin Kampmann finally had his breakout performance against Paulo Thiago. After spending years floating around the middle of the pack in both the middleweight and welterweight divisions, Kampmann defeated a heavily favored Thiago with a convincing unanimous decision. While Kampmann has been hanging around in the UFC, Jake Shields made a name for himself in EliteXC and Strikeforce. Winner of 14 straight fights including victories over Dan Henderson, Mike Pyle, Yushin Okami, Jason Miller, Carlos Condit, and Robbie Lawler, Shields is finally stepping into the octagon with a chance to gain a welterweight title shot.

Although he’s been a bit up and down in the UFC, Kampmann has always been one of the most underrated fighters in the sport. He’s a good technical striker and what he lacks in striking defense, he makes up for by having a durable chin and he’s very active on the ground. Unfortunately, his wrestling is the weakest part of his game. While he was able to neutralize the takedown attempts from Thiago, a black belt in judo, I’d be shocked if he has that same kind of success against Shields. Kampmann has to keep this fight standing and he has to be patient on the feet. We know he’s a better striker than Shields but we also know that Shields won’t engage much. So Kampmann has find his openings and not get frustrated if they don’t come right away.

Shields has the reputation of being boring but I think that’s an unfair reputation. Sure he didn’t finish Henderson or Miller but Henderson has never been finished by strikes and Shields, despite being undersized, came extremely close without the benefit of elbows and his fight against Miller wasn’t as bad as made out to be, plus Miller, an exciting and charismatic personality, isn’t all that exciting come fight time. Before those two fights, Shields had finished eight straight opponents. I don’t expect Shields to spend much time on his feet but when they are standing, expect Shields to throw a lot of kicks just to keep a distance. Once he’s ready to attack, Shields will shoot for the lead leg and then drag Kampmann down. As good as Kampmann might be on the ground, Shields’ top control is excellent and he always comes out ahead on the scrambles. I think Shields will be more aggressive on the ground in this fight because the “boring” label has seemed to get to him and he also has a new weapon with the inclusion of elbows.

I don’t think this fight will be boring. As mentioned, Shields being labeled boring is unfair and Kampmann is always in exciting fights. I like Shields to win this fight. No matter what Joe Rogan or anyone who only listens to Rogan without actually watching the fights says, Kampmann’s takedown defense isn’t great. Unless it’s improved dramatically, which is possible considering that he trains at Xtreme Couture, Shields will likely be taking him down early and often. He may not finish Kampmann due to his lack of power and Kampmann’s submission defense but it won’t be for lack of effort.

Prediction: Jake Shields to defeat Martin Kampmann by Decision

Welterweight Fight: Paulo Thiago vs. Diego Sanchez

After a lightweight run that saw him fall short in a title fight against BJ Penn, Diego Sanchez returned to the welterweight division at UFC 114 and was handled rather easily by John Hathaway. Paulo Thiago was also unsuccessful in his last fight, dropping a unanimous decision to the man in the co-main event, Martin Kampmann.

There was a lot of hype behind Thiago heading into the Kampmann fight but Kampmann shut him down. That’s not a knock on Thiago, it’s more crediting Kampmann. Thiago is a powerful counter striker with a black belt in judo and a very good ground game. He throws a good straight right and likes to counter with the left hook. On the ground he’s all about the chokes whether it be an arm triangle, a guillotine, or a d’arce. Thiago will likely want to stand with Sanchez, given his superior counter striking and power but he’ll also be happy fighting in the clinch where he can use his judo and control Sanchez with his size and power.

After failing in his welterweight return, Sanchez went even further back to his roots and re-aligned himself with coach Greg Jackson. It’s a good move but Sanchez has already stated that after this fight, he’s heading back down to lightweight. That tells me that he’s once again going to come in soft for this fight and have trouble muscling Thiago around. Sanchez is a quick striker but he’s rather predictable. It’s a lot of uppercut-hook combinations and not much else. Sanchez is a good wrestler but thanks to the size disadvantage and Thiago’s judo, it not going to be easy to get Thiago down. One thing Sanchez has in his favor is his cardio. He pushes a relentless pace and never seems to gas while Thiago has gassed before, most notably in his fight against Jacob Volkmann. If Sanchez can stay fresh early, not get rocked, and push his usual pace, he could end up stealing this fight by simply outworking Thiago.

When it comes down to it, I think Sanchez has mentally checked out at welterweight. He knows he belongs in the lightweight division and Thiago is going to send him back there. Sanchez is tough to finish but Thiago will batter him with counter punches and control him with his size and strength en route to a dominating decision.

Prediction: Paulo Thiago to defeat Diego Sanchez by Decision

Light Heavyweight Fight: Matt Hamill vs. Tito Ortiz

During The Ultimate Fighter 3, Tito Ortiz and Matt Hamill formed a bond from the very start. Hamill ended up training with Ortiz early in his UFC career and was considered a member of Team Punishment. They grew apart as training partners and now they’re opponents.

Hamill is essentially a mini-Ortiz. His striking is very basic and slow, he’s a strong wrestler, and he has good ground and pound. His striking defense consists of standing in front of his opponents with his hands down and getting punched in the face. If he had a soft head, he’d probably have been KO’d by now. I think Hamill will want to stay standing with Ortiz, if only to prove a point. He seems to believe in his stand up even though it’s not great. Maybe he’ll be smart and surprise Ortiz with some takedowns as well. His best chance at winning this fight is to put Ortiz on his back and pound away. Basically give him a taste of his own medicine. My biggest concern with Hamill is his respect for Ortiz. He showed too much respect for Rich Franklin and that ultimately cost him the fight. Even though Ortiz later apologized, maybe his comments about Hamill and the deaf community showed him Ortiz’ true colors.

This is do or die for Ortiz. He hasn’t won a fight since beating Ken Shamrock in 2006. Think about that. He’s coming off another long layoff where he had another surgery. He claims to be 100% healthy this time around but he’s claimed to be 100% healthy every fight since he faced Chuck Liddell at UFC 66. Ortiz is still Ortiz. He’s still a basic boxer with a strong double leg and brutal ground and pound from inside the guard. He’s quicker than Hamill on the feet but Hamill has the power advantage. He’s a better wrestler than Hamill but Hamill has a sneaky power to him and is tough to takedown. He’s a better grappler but he never really shows his submission skills. There is a lie to Ortiz’ game though and that’s his cardio. The announcers always talk about how Ortiz has had outstanding cardio ever since he fought Frank Shamrock but that hasn’t been the case in his last few fights. He gassed against Rashad Evans, he got dropped with a body shot (sometimes a sign of poor conditioning) against Lyoto Machida, and he gassed so bad against Forrest Griffin that he threw a grand total of five strikes in the third round. Ortiz is basically coasting on his reputation at this point.

This is a tough fight to call. If Ortiz truly has anything left in the tank, he’ll win this fight. If Hamill ever wants to be a top-level fighter, he’ll win this fight. Honestly, I don’t think Ortiz has anything left and I don’t think Hamill will be a top-level fighter. But I’m paid the big bucks here at 5OZ to give my predictions so I’ll go with Hamill and the power of the deaf community. It’ll likely be a close fight and the judges may end up screwing up the decision but at the end of the fight, we’ll all be losers. Unless Ortiz loses, retires, and quits twitter. Then we all win.

Predition: Matt Hamill to defeat Tito Ortiz by Decision

Heavyweight Fight: Brendan Schaub vs. Gabriel Gonzaga

After losing to Roy Nelson in the finals of The Ultimate Fighter 10, Brendan Schaub has rattle off two straight one minute TKO victories over Chase Gormley and Chris Tuchscherer. With the way he celebrated those victories, you would think that he just KO’d Fedor Emelianenko. Now he gets a step up in competition as he faces career gatekeeper Gabriel Gonzaga.

Given his lack of cage time and competition, it’s tough to know just how good Schaub really is. He seems to be a quick striker with good power but otherwise; he’s pretty much a mystery. He trains at Grudge Sports with a lot of top fighters but so does James McSweeney and we all saw how he turned out. Schaub will need to press Gonzaga in this fight. It’s been proven time and time again that Gonzaga wilts under pressure and that he doesn’t have the greatest chin in the world. Schaub needs to use his speed advantage, avoid the ground, and continue to show off the power he’s shown off thus far in his career.

Gonzaga has the talent to be a champion. He just lacks the heart. He’s a good striker who throws everything with power, his wrestling is decent, and he’s a jiu-jitsu black belt. If he could just find Oz and get a heart, he’d be at the top of the UFC heavyweight ladder. After being KO’d in two of his last three fights, I’m guessing that Gonzaga will want to test the ground game of Schaub while also showing off his jiu-jitsu skills.

The word “gatekeeper” gets tossed around a lot in MMA but it truly fits Gonzaga. Everyone he’s defeated is either out of the organization or hasn’t found any success since losing to him and everyone he’s lost to has gone on to earn a UFC title shot or hand the best heavyweight ever their first real loss in the sport. If Schaub is going to amount to anything in MMA, he’ll beat Gonzaga. Personally, I hope this fight ends in a double KO just so neither man can do their terrible celebration but being forced to pick, I’m going with Gonzaga because I don’t think Schaub is all that good. That said, I’d be shocked if this fight make it out of the first round and if it does, I’d bet that Schaub would end up winning.

Prediction: Gabriel Gonzaga to defeat Brendan Schaub by Submission in Round One

Quick Preliminary Predictions:

*Court McGee to defeat Ryan Jensen by Submission in Round One
*Patrick Cote to defeat Tom Lawlor by TKO in Round Two
*Mike Guymon to defeat Daniel Roberts by Decision
*Sam Stout to defeat Paul Taylor by Decision
*Dong Yi Yang to defeat Chris Camozzi by TKO in Round One
*Jon Madsen to defeat Gilbert Yvel by Decision

24 COMMENTS
  • elkymbo says:

    What the fuck? Cain is Mexican???

  • Rece Rock says:

    Brock by submission Rd. 2. Brock’s might eat some shots when he goes to shoot in but good luck getting that beast off of you I don’t care how good of a wrestler Cain is it comes down to moving a mountain a mountain that can smother you, soften you up and submit you.

  • Kamakosmo says:

    Cain was born in Salinas, California. Which, the last time I checked, was in the United States. So, he’s an American with Mexican descent. Just like I’m an American with Danish descent.

  • boomnutz says:

    I gotta agree with Brock winning, either ground and pound or submission…on a side note since when did Cain Velasquez become a devastating striker?!?! he knocked out Big Nog, but so did Frank Mir, WTF, i’m sorry but i attribute this more to the decline of Big Nog (it hurts to say) he looked to slow and plodding in both of those fights. He has a standup advantage for sure, but I would take Carwin in a standup battle versus Cain, and it’ll be real hard for Cain to close the pocket without getting wrapped up, and Brock’s jab should be used more effectively than vs Carwin because i don’t think he’s going to worry about getting knocked out, so unless Cain unleashes some pretty devastating leg kicks i got Brock ALLLLL day….

  • boomnutz says:

    and another thing….where’s the brass?! you picked all decisions but 2, come on show some balls…Also, Tito admittedly called Hamill the better wrestler, so i would give him the edge there, although Tito def. has better GnP

  • fanoftna33 says:

    I think Brock by tko rd 3
    Shields by decision in what should be one hell of a good fight really looking forwaed to this one.

  • fanoftna33 says:

    Paulo vs Sanchez should be FOTN and may make the top 10 fights of the year. As much as I dont want to pick a winner I will go with Paulo as he has shown better ko power over better guys( ko of Kos) and a very near KO of Swick.
    Ortiz by tko round 1,
    Schuab by ko round 2 Gonzaga with this loss should finally be cut as he is to inconsistant unless they finally make a match with Gabe and Cheick in a loser leaveas UFC match.

  • boomnutz says:

    that reminds me, Gabe got knocked out by Carwin and Dos Santos…since when does that mean you have a suspect chin!?! not too many people have survived against them

  • BigDave says:

    Cain Velasquez will not only beat Brock but he will do it in impressive fashion. Brock is a big powerful dude but other then strength and size he has nothing that is on the level of Cain.

    Cain by KO rd2

    Everyone i think is sleeping on Kampmann, I see him being just to good for sheilds and winning a close fight by split decision.

    If there was ever a fight to skip and go for a smoke or bathroom break it is Tito vs Hamill. This fight is gonna be a Hamill unanimous decision by getting the takedown and laying on top of the huntington sad boy over and over till it merciful end.

    SAnchez i feel will come out and dictate the pace of the fight and get the takedown and gnp a win in the first.

  • bigbadjohn says:

    moment of truth for BigDave is almost here. He called Cain winning the strap a year ago. Im still not buying the hype but I’m going to go ahead and say Velasquez takes a round or 2 on the feet, slipping takedown attempts and peppering Brock with blows but eventually is taken to his back and worn out/ beat down. Just remember one thing Cain-lovers, Mr Velasquez didn’t have to worry about TD’s against Kongo and Nog so he won’t be throwing his hands as boldly against Brock!

  • Guthookd says:

    Man, these are hard picks to make.

    I’m going with Brock via G’n’P TKO in the first. I think Cain will be fast, but Brock will work for and get the TD early in rd 1. He’ll spend some time on top throwing hard hammers down and then he’ll get the mount or side control and finish it will more hammers.

    Gott pick Sanchez over Thiago. Paulo has impressed me in the past, but Diego is a beast. I think Diego’s TDs will be the difference. I see a decision win for Diego.

    Kampman vs. Shields is a tough one. Gotta pick Kampman by TKO in rd 1 though. Shields looked good on the ground against Henderson, though he was a little slow and his punches were weak as hell. I think Kampman’s striking and foot work will make the difference and he’ll find an opportunity to land some hard shots.

    I think Tito will find a way to beat Hamill. They’ll fight for the TD, but I think Tito will land some dirty boxing shots in teh clinch and eventually wind up on top. Tito TKO round 2.

  • gy614x says:

    This one can really go either way, i like both guys equally….Do gotta say though, its slightly irritating to have everyone referring to Cain as a mexican (by that i mean UFC guys/casual fans). I wish he’d take some pride in what he really is (an American). He may have mexican roots and its fine to be proud of that, but i dont go around saying “Brock is the best Polish fighter alive!!!!” (or whatever his origin is)

  • Hold up…Did you seriously say that Tito is a better wrestler than The Hammer? Seriously? I’ve never seen such a blatant lie posted on this site.
    Tito wrestled for a year in juco….Hammil is world class.

    Anyhow…Brock by TKO round 2( Cain wont be able to stop his takedowns, nor will be able to getup from them)
    Sheilds by sub in round 3.
    Hammil by decision
    Thiago by I just dont wanna see Diego win
    Gonzaga by same reason as above.

  • Rich S. says:

    Lesnar via KO r2
    Shields via Split Decision
    Thiago via Unanimous Decision
    Hamill via Unanimous Decision
    Schaub via KO r1

    Since the beginning of all this “Who’s the best Heavyweight” talk, I haven’t once thought Cain Velasquez stands a chance against Brock Lesnar. He’s smaller, not slower but not faster, not necessarily weaker but not stronger, and if your telling me he’s going to outstrike Lesnar when Carwin couldn’t, you are out of your mind. Cain shows incredible wrestling, but I can’t picture him overpowering Lesnar in any aspect, so I don’t see how it will help him. And his striking is pretty good, but don’t forget he’s been rocked a few times in the octagon. Maybe I’ll be surprised, but I just don’t see how Cain wins. I’m going to go out on a limb with Brock’s method of victory, though. Standing knockout in the second.

    Typically, fighters have trouble translating their skills into the UFC. For example, Condit, who was once considered a top 3 Welterweight, has only recently truly found his stride. I don’t expect to see that with Shields. He has fought all over the globe, against all types of fighters, and is pretty much the best we’ve seen aside from GSP, love him or hate him. I do expect him to have a few problems with Kampmann, but I think he’ll be able to secure a decision, however close it may be.

    A few years ago, I would have picked Diego to win his last few fights by slaughter. Lately, he just doesn’t fight smart… or good. Unless Diego SERIOUSLY changes some aspects of his game, wake me up when it’s over and I’ll assume Paulo handled him in all areas of the fight, despite Paulo’s recent showing of wrestling defense, or lack there of.

    Tito’s never going to change. He doesn’t want to get hit, and he’s going to have a big strong wrestler hitting him and chasing after him all night. I don’t think Hamill will knock Tito out, but, as long as he doesn’t let the name of his opponent get to him, he should control the fight for 15 minutes.

    Let’s be real. Gonzaga’s really only good for his opponents’ highlight reels at this point. Maybe he’ll take Schaub down and submit him, because he’s about due for a win, but more likely, Schaub will obliterate him early on.

  • MCM says:

    Brock – TKO rd 2. Lets be honest. Brock took some massively powerful hits from Shane Carwin and still managed to get back up. Ben freaking Rothwell took about 100 powerful hits from Cain and still managed to work his way back up. Anyone that thinks Cain has the power to dominate Brock is dreaming.

    Shields – Split Dec. I too think people are sleeping on Kampman but Jake is a tough mother humper and has been fighting guys of Martins quality for years now. I see this being a hard fought win but Shields will be the one with his hand raised at the end.

    Thiago – Dec. I don’t think he’ll be able to finish “Yes” Sanchez, but I haven’t seen Diego’s heart in a fight since Penn hit him with that first punch.

    Tito – Sub rd 1. Hamill is gonna be able to take Tito down at will but he’s never really fought a guy with good Submission skills. Although Tito is no Damien Maia, he is pretty good off his back. Anyone remember that triangle on Machida? If Hamill decides not to fight on the ground, he’s just gonna get out struck by Ortiz for 3 rnds.

    Gonzaga KO rd 1. Don’t forget, Schaub got KO’d by Roy Nelson, and Gonzaga hits a lot harder than Nelson. I also feel that people underestimate how good Gonzaga really is. I think he can hang with Brenden on the feet and if he decides to take it to the mat it’s all over for Mr. Schaub.

  • danw84 says:

    I don’t make predictions, but I WANT:

    Brock
    Kampmann
    Thiago
    Hamill
    Schaub (Although I wouldn’t be angry if it was Gonzaga, they’re both kinda irrelevant to me)

  • Dufresne says:

    While I was reading this article I was also watching MMA Live on ESPN as they were showing the segment where Fight Science was analyzing Cain. I wish they had showed how they actually analyzed the data because some of the numbers look impressive, but I’m not sure they were given in context. In one segment they showed Cain throwing a left hook to the body region of a heavy bag that came in at over 2200 lbs. The problem I have with that number is that punching power is supposed to be measured in psi, not simply lbs. If the impact sensor had an area of 1 square inch, he’s got a punch on par with elite heavyweight boxer, but if the sensor was 4 square inches he’s swinging with about the same force as an amateur boxer. The good news for Cain fans is that Rampage was tested on a similar rig and only hit 1800 lbs.

    Back on subject:

    -I’m going with Brock to win this fight via GnP TKO in the 2nd or 3rd round. Cain has significantly better boxing technique than either Carwin or Lesnar, but I don’t think he hits as hard as Carwin does. And since a victory for Cain is almost certainly reliant on the striking game, I can’t pick Cain here. Yes his boxing and movement are great, yes he has incredible cardio for a HW, but this fight is in the Octagon, not a ring. Eventually Brock will manage to get Cain on the ground either by backing Cain into the cage or by plowing into him when Cain sets his feet to strike. But either way Cain will end up on his back with a massive, powerful, and angry Brock on top intent on turning his face in to ground beef.

    Shields has the reputation of being boring but I think that’s an unfair reputation. Um… No, that’s a pretty fair reputation actually. Yeah he finished 8 fights before the Mayhem snorefest, but 2 were submissions over almost pure strikers, 3 of the finishes were over guys that just plain suck and only 2 were against decent opponents. So yeah, he’s boring, but he’s also very good. But if anyone can spoil Shields’ debut, it’s Kampmann. The last time a reigning champ from another major MMA promotion came over to the UFC, Kampmann welcomed him in by serving him a split decision loss. However, I don’t think Kampmann will knock off Shields here as Shields is an entirely different style of fighter than Condit. Unlike Condit, Shields won’t try and stand with Kampmann and in this case, that’s going to be the difference. Kampmann is going to try to keep Shields at bay using his jab, leg kicks, and knees in the clinch, but Shields will time his kicks or knees and dump him on his back where he’ll stay for the remainder of each round. Shields is gonna pull off another controlling, but boring UD.

    – Pretty much everything I was thinking of saying in regards to Sanchez/Thiago was said in the article. After his last fight it seemed pretty obvious to me that he just wasn’t as powerful or explosive as he was before dropping to LW. Between that and the fact that he’s going back to LW after this I don’t expect him to be able to handle Thiago, but I expect his chin to hold up long enough to see the judges card. Thiago via UD.

    – I’m usually fine with trash talking and Tito has traditionally been one of the most creative, but after comments like “I’ve noticed he’s deaf, so he has a soft head, you hit him with more and more shots.” and “You hit them with soft shots because their equilibrium, they don’t have no equilibrium.” I personally think he went way too far. Making fun or insulting a person for what they do, how they fight, what they wear or whatever is fine. They choose to do those things. But making fun of a handicap that a person was born with is amazingly ignorant and insulting. He may have “apologized” on twitter, but I’m still hoping and praying that Hamill comes in, dumps Tito on his “soft head’ and pounds him in the face until he looks like he went face first into a bee hive.
    Hopefully Hamill by “Wrath of God beating”

    – I’m not sure if Gonzaga has a questionable chin or not, but I do know that even if he’s reinforced his chin with cold forged steel, if Schaub lands one flush it won’t make a bit of difference. If Gonzaga can finally remember that he’s a top level BJJ black belt instead of trying for that glory he recieved for “Cro-Coping” Cro Cop he can win this. Hopefully he’s finally had it punched into his head that while he’s got decent power, he’s not an elite striker and should stick to the skill that got him into the big leagues to begin with. Going with Gonzaga via 2nd round sub.

  • Dufresne says:

    Didn’t realize that post was that long… Probably shouldn’t have had so many with dinner…

  • Rich S. says:

    The longer the post, the better!

    That’s my philosophy… or so it seems.

  • I really like this entire line up. Brock is going to win this and should. I give Cain a lot of respect, against anyone else I would say that he could win. Cain will not win this one. Brock is to big, but as we all know its not just that. Brock is smart, he adapts and learns. Striking takes a long time but he he can recover from Shane Carwin then Brock will surely handle the power of Cain. The only shot I see of Cain winning is to step to the side and shrug off the bull rush shove up against the cage technique brock will use. Randy was able to get out from under Brock. Randy also has better head movement than Cain. Cain is a quick in and out striker but he hasn’t been hit like Brock can hit him and to break Brock down is not going to be easy.

    Jake shields took what Henderson had to give which has given problems to 205 and heavys. I see the Hitman being like a nastier Jason Miller. Very good first fight for Jake but I am going with the Hitman on this one really because and although I think shields is the smarter fighter I also think shields is a boring fighter that doesn’t show well roudedness and that the Hitman has a better than Miller chance to win this one. I would love to see Hitman vs Miller no matter what.

  • JabCrossHook says:

    Yeah wasn’t Ricco Rodriguez already the first Mexican American HW champion?

  • BigDave says:

    I’m glad everyone isn’t giving my boy credit. I twill make it all the better for me to talk trash tomorrow when Cain is the champ and Brock is still trying to remember what his name is.

  • Dufresne says:

    It’s not that I’m not giving him credit, Cain is a phenomenal fighter, I just see Brock taking this one.

    But if you’re right, I’ll eat my crow and give you props for calling this over a year ago.

  • Mr. Roze says:

    This is going to be a great night of fights.

    First off you got Brock Lesnar vs Cain Velasquez. Both great fighters, when I first saw Cain fight I thought he had the potential to be a great champion and I still do but this is a bad matchup for him. For him to win he has to be a Matador and use his footwork to move around the powerful Bull, tired him out and wait for his opening. But as we all know, if you mess with a Bull sometimes you get the horns and Brock is one mean Bull who loves to use his horns. Obviously Cain (did you know he’s mexican) has much better standup.But the problem with that is, can Cain keep the fight on his feet by being a Matador but still inflict damage on Brock without being taken down. If he can then he should be able to grind out a win. But thats no easy task Brock has the power, speed and wrestling ability to takedown anyone in the Heavyweight division and once the fight goes to the ground he has excellent top control and really powerful short strikes in his GnP. So who wins this fight Brock the Bull or Cain the mexican Matador? I’m going with Brock in this one, I think its gonna be a great fight but sooner or later Brock will get a takedown and pound out a hard fought victory. I stil think Cain will be a UFC Heavyweight Champ one day just not today. BTW wasn’t Ricco Rodriguez the first Mexican HW champ.

    Matt Hammil defeats Tito Ortiz by decision

    Kake Shields Defeats Martin Kamppman by 2nd rd submission

    Diego Sanchez defeats PauloThiago by 2nd rd TKO

LEAVE A COMMENT!

You must be logged in to post a comment.