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Vegas Odds for Tomorrow’s TUF 7 Finale

Las Vegas, Nevada — As Matt mentioned, I am out in Las Vegas to view a presentation of THQ’s new “UFC 2009” video game. Hopefully, I will get a chance to play it, but at the very least I will get to see what it’s all about and talk to the people responsible for making the game and give you guys the lowdown. My goal is to at the very least have a review for you guys here on 5 Oz. before I head back to Philly.

While I am out here, I will be taking in the live season finale for “The Ultimate Fighter.” Check back here as well for weigh-in results as well as undercard results. If anything breaks, I’ll have that as well. There’s already one potentially large story that I’ve been looking into.

In the meantime, I wanted to list the money lines for some of tomorrow’s fights, as per the Sportsbook at the Palms. At initial glance, this is a tough card to bet:

* Evan Tanner (-210) vs. Kendall Grove (+175)

Grove hasn’t looked good in his recent fights but was has Tanner done to be such a prohibitive favorite? Maybe there’s a lot of money coming in on him. I don’t like either line but I might be tempted to put a little bit on Grove.

* Josh Burkman (-210) vs. Dustin Hazelett (+175)

Hazelett is really underrated and I picked him to win in CBSSports.com’s Head-2-Head poll. It only makes sense that I put down a couple of bucks on him to win at the Sportsbook.

* Diego Sanchez (-500) vs. Luigi Fioravanti (+400)

I like Sanchez in this fight but at -500? No way. That’s too cost prohibitive. This is MMA where anything can happen. If Vegas wants me to take money out of my pocket and place it on Sanchez, I need a better rate of return. Fioravanti is tough and with that kind of payout, I might put $20 on him for a few laughs.

* Jeremy Horn (-130) vs. Dean Lister (+110)

Horn is favored!? Huh!? He’s been subbed in each of his last two fights and Lister is one of the best grapplers in all of MMA. I like Lister all the way here.

* Drew McFedries (-135) vs. Marvin Eastman (+115)

I like McFedries in this one. I think this line is just about right but McFedries is inconsistent so I wouldn’t bet more than a couple of bucks on him.

* Spencer Fisher (-210) vs. Jeremy Stephens (+175)

-210 means you need to put up $210 in order to win $100. Fisher is the better fighter, but not so much that you should have to put up that much money in order to win $100. That’s bad value. The problem is, Stephens doesn’t really offer good enough value to play the underdog.

BTW, as of 9:00 am PT there was no line for the middleweight final between Amir Sadollah and C.B. Dalloway. As soon as I see the line, I will post something.

4 COMMENTS
  • bjjdenver says:

    Agreed. Lister should have been the favorite and Diego is a little high.

  • woooburn says:

    “There’s already one potentially large story that I’ve been looking into”

    i’ve seen alot of people mentioning a wanderlei silva vs thiago silva matchup in october. not sure if that’s what you’re hinting at, but it’ll be a damn good fight if it happens.

  • dongbar says:

    “BTW, as of 9:00 am PT there was no line for the middleweight final between Amir Sadollah and C.B. Dalloway. As soon as I see the line, I will post something.”

    It’s this where i bet

    +140 Adollah
    -200 CB

    Yundt +110
    Kimmons -153

    Credeur -500
    Yarbrough +295

    Brown +110
    Arroyo -153

    Riddle -285
    Rivera +190

  • Rich S. says:

    “Lister is one of the best grapplers in all of MMA”
    it’s kind of unfair to say that with out saying Horn’s one of the best grapplers in all of MMA too…

    but, ya, Horn shouldn’t be favored, i mean, he’s great, and he’s done so much for the sport.. but, he’s just lost it lately.. he needs to hang em up and coach full time..

    and as for the mcfedries fight,
    i was going with him originally because he KO’s people and eastman has that glass jaw and all.. but.. Eastman DID recently survive three rounds w/ Terry Martin, who has heavy hands, and Mcfedries just doesn’t have any heart.. you give him like, one good blow, and he quits.. so.. i’m actually gonna pull for Eastman… something i’ve never done in my life..

    other than that i pick Fisher, Hazelett, Sanchez, and Tanner..

    if Tanner fights like he has in the past.. this should definitely be a win for him.. but it looks like Grove’s going to be way better in this one than his last two.. so, idk, it’s a tossup

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